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Wednesday, March 25, 2020

America Start Your Engines



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3-26-2020:  Ford aims to reopen some North American plants in April after coronavirus shutdown
(may have to copy-paste link into browser to view fox article)
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The PravdaMedia is abuzz with explosive negativity over Trump’s desire to get America Open For Business by Easter.
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How could this even be a pipe dream considering many locations, like NY, are not yet close to ‘topping-out’ their case loads?
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Perhaps there are those who are looking at the current ‘regular flu epidemic’ data, for which we did Not shut-down the country, and are comparing that to the CoronaVirus data where current sickness and deaths are a fraction of the ‘regular flu’ impacts, albeit that hospitalizations may become a significant mitigating factor.
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When the shut-downs were ordered, it was “assumed”, based on foreign data, that the death rate was 5+ percent of infections – clearly a major exposure.  Current data indicates it may be less than 1.0 percent of infections with those most at risk Not in the workforce (like myself).
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A prolonged shut-down clearly could lead to another 1930s Depression with all the massive issues that would involve.
Starting the economic engines of the US could be done by state or even areas within states.
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Significant decisions lie ahead with risk to both the deciders and the public.
We all face risk every day in everything we do.
We will soon have to face the risk-reward decisions associated with “America Start Your Engines”.
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God give the Wisdom of Solomon and the Luck of the Irish to those who will make these decisions!
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An interesting work item: some companies are giving 'risk bonus' to keep workers on the job
(in reflection: was a time I got airborne jump pay).
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Adversity Uncovers Good, Bad And Horrid Actors
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