The RoanokeSlant

This file is a personal journal of commentary of examples of the Roanoke Times and Liberal Media Slant. lbhagen@roanokeslant.org

Saturday, August 27, 2016

 

Pathetic Weather And Climate Modeling And Outlandish Predictions

-
There are hundreds of millions of dollars spent each year on Weather and Climate Modeling.
Except for nuclear weapons design, physics research and mineral exploration, Weather and Climate are the greatest “investment” in super-computers and the massive infrastructure surrounding them.
The results are incredibly disappointing and in many cases malfeasance of taxpayer money!
-
Super-computers are not to blame.  They perform massive operations per second with flawless accuracy.
Clearly the two other elements of the equations are the programs they are running and data they are fed.
-
Aye – there is the rub!  People with all their flaws, biases, egos, agendas and limitations writing programs and inputting data and in many cases trying to obtain a predefined outcome.
Something about: garbage in = garbage out.
-
Just look at the pathetic weather models for the current Tropical Storm Invest 99-L.
Over a dozen weather models predicting land-fall over an 870 mile shoreline.
How can this be called a professional prediction?
How can this be of any use to anyone?
Do we pay these people?  Do we actually pay these people?
-
-
- 
-
Then look at the pathetic Man-made Global Warming AGW Models.
The average of 102 Climate Models that are four-times (4X) off the measured “current” temperature (0.8 vs. 0.2 degrees).
Not one model reflects the recent and current temperature!
And to think that these are the models that Obama is using to totally restructure our National Energy Systems.
What could possibly go wrong with that so-called plan?
-
-
- 
-
Our president and secretary of state pronounce that, based on these models of “man-made” global warming (as if there’s never been the natural kind – the only kind so far) that AGW is more dangerous than those who have declared war upon us and are working diligently to kill as many of us and our friends as they can.
-
-
As an interesting highlight reflect on the difference between the doomsday apocalyptic projections by the AGW-Alarmists about today’s effects of so-called man-made CO2 and global warming and reality:
No Atlantic Hurricanes since Wilma in 2005
No Gulf Hurricanes since Ingrid 2013

No Major Hurricane Has Made Landfall In the U.S. In More Than 9 Years -- and That's a New Record

Don’t see that highlighted in the Pravda Press do we?
-
-
-
-
WSJ: 8-31-2016:  How the Exxon Case Unraveled
New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman’s investigation of Exxon Mobil for climate sins has collapsed due to its own willful dishonesty. The posse of state AGs he pretended to assemble never really materialized. Now his few allies are melting away: Massachusetts has suspended its investigation. California apparently never opened one.
It becomes clear that investigators simply don’t know what a climate model is.
The whole purpose of a climate model is to estimate warming from a given input of CO2. In its most recent report, issued in 2013, the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assumes a doubling of atmospheric CO2 and predicts warming of 1.5 to 4.5 degrees Celsius—i.e., an uncertainty of output, not input.
What’s more, this represents an increase in uncertainty over its 2007 report (when the range was 2.0 to 4.5 degrees). In fact, the IPCC’s new estimate is now identical to Exxon’s 1977 estimate and the 1979 estimate of the U.S. National Research Council.
In other words, on the crucial question, the help we’re getting from climate models has not improved in 40 years and has been going backward of late.
For bonus insight, ask yourself why we still rely on computer simulations at all, rather than empirical study of climate—even though we’ve been burning fossil fuels for 200 years and recording temperatures even longer.

-
-
For professional views of Earth Science peruse:
-
-
“Nothing to Fear” at Amazon: http://amzn.to/1miBhXy
-
Obama’s National Security Strategy: Terrorism Equivalent To AGW
-
Man-made Global Warming or Mother Nature's Normal Climate?
-
Global Warming Meets Mother Nature
-
AGW Global Warming Alarmism -- It's All About Wealth Redistribution

-



Links to this post:

Create a Link



<< Home

Archives

February 2005   March 2005   April 2005   May 2005   June 2005   July 2005   August 2005   September 2005   October 2005   November 2005   December 2005   January 2006   February 2006   March 2006   April 2006   May 2006   June 2006   July 2006   August 2006   September 2006   October 2006   November 2006   December 2006   January 2007   February 2007   March 2007   April 2007   May 2007   June 2007   July 2007   August 2007   September 2007   October 2007   November 2007   December 2007   January 2008   February 2008   March 2008   April 2008   May 2008   June 2008   July 2008   August 2008   September 2008   October 2008   November 2008   December 2008   January 2009   February 2009   March 2009   April 2009   May 2009   June 2009   July 2009   August 2009   September 2009   October 2009   November 2009   December 2009   January 2010   February 2010   March 2010   April 2010   May 2010   June 2010   July 2010   August 2010   September 2010   October 2010   November 2010   December 2010   January 2011   February 2011   March 2011   April 2011   May 2011   June 2011   July 2011   August 2011   September 2011   October 2011   November 2011   December 2011   January 2012   February 2012   March 2012   April 2012   May 2012   June 2012   July 2012   August 2012   September 2012   October 2012   November 2012   December 2012   January 2013   February 2013   March 2013   April 2013   May 2013   June 2013   July 2013   August 2013   September 2013   October 2013   November 2013   December 2013   January 2014   February 2014   March 2014   April 2014   May 2014   June 2014   July 2014   August 2014   September 2014   October 2014   November 2014   December 2014   January 2015   February 2015   March 2015   April 2015   May 2015   June 2015   July 2015   August 2015   September 2015   October 2015   November 2015   December 2015   January 2016   February 2016   March 2016   April 2016   May 2016   June 2016   July 2016   August 2016   September 2016   October 2016   November 2016   December 2016   January 2017   February 2017   March 2017   April 2017  

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?