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Saturday, August 27, 2016
Pathetic Weather And Climate Modeling And Outlandish Predictions
hundreds of millions of dollars spent each year on Weather and Climate
nuclear weapons design, physics research and mineral exploration,
Weather and Climate are the greatest “investment” in super-computers and the
massive infrastructure surrounding them.
The results are incredibly
disappointing and in many cases malfeasance of taxpayer money!
are not to blame. They perform massive
operations per second with flawless accuracy.
two other elements of the equations are the programs they are running and data
they are fed.
Aye – there
is the rub! People with all their flaws,
biases, egos, agendas and limitations writing programs and inputting data and
in many cases trying to obtain a predefined outcome.
about: garbage in = garbage out.
at the pathetic weather models for the current Tropical Storm Invest 99-L.
dozen weather models predicting land-fall over an 870 mile shoreline.
this be called a professional prediction?
this be of any use to anyone?
Do we pay
these people? Do we actually pay these
at the pathetic Man-made Global Warming AGW Models.
of 102 Climate Models that are four-times (4X) off the measured “current”
temperature (0.8 vs. 0.2 degrees).
Not one model reflects the recent
and current temperature!
think that these are the models that Obama is using to totally restructure our
National Energy Systems.
possibly go wrong with that so-called plan?
president and secretary of state pronounce that, based on these models of “man-made”
global warming (as if there’s never been the natural kind – the only kind so
far) that AGW is more dangerous than those who have declared war upon us and
are working diligently to kill as many of us and our friends as they can.
interesting highlight reflect on the difference between the doomsday apocalyptic projections by the AGW-Alarmists
about today’s effects of so-called man-made CO2 and global warming and reality:
Hurricanes since Wilma in 2005
Hurricanes since Ingrid 2013
No Major Hurricane
Has Made Landfall In the U.S.
In More Than 9 Years -- and That's a New Record
Don’t see that highlighted in the
Pravda Press do we?
WSJ: 8-31-2016: How the Exxon Case Unraveled
Attorney General Eric Schneiderman’s investigation of Exxon Mobil for climate sins has
collapsed due to its own willful dishonesty. The posse of state AGs he
pretended to assemble never really materialized. Now his few allies are melting
has suspended its investigation. California
apparently never opened one.
clear that investigators simply don’t know what a climate model is.
purpose of a climate model is to estimate warming from a given input
of CO2. In its most recent report, issued in 2013, the U.N.’s Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change assumes a doubling of atmospheric CO2 and predicts
warming of 1.5 to 4.5 degrees Celsius—i.e., an uncertainty of output, not
more, this represents an increase in uncertainty over its 2007 report
(when the range was 2.0 to 4.5 degrees). In fact, the IPCC’s new estimate is
now identical to Exxon’s 1977 estimate and the 1979 estimate of the U.S.
National Research Council.
words, on the crucial question, the help we’re getting from climate models has
not improved in 40 years and has been going backward of late.
insight, ask yourself why we still rely on computer simulations at all, rather
than empirical study of climate—even though we’ve been burning fossil fuels for
200 years and recording temperatures even longer.
professional views of Earth Science peruse:
National Security Strategy: Terrorism Equivalent To AGW
Global Warming or Mother Nature's Normal
Warming Meets Mother Nature
Warming Alarmism -- It's All About Wealth Redistribution